Analytics

Merkel’s Caucasus trip: Diplomatic show or serious strategic undertaking

Published: 6-09-2018, 12:55

  German Chancellor Merkel paid state visits to the three Caucasus republics from 23 August to 25 August, 2018. After a period of relative strength that led to the impression of a steady rise of the Federal Republic within the international system, this tour takes place in times when Berlin faces new strategic constraints. These constraints severed over recent years and include serious issues that will likely hinder the country’s ability to push for strategic initiatives that are not...

If elections were held on Sunday…

Published: 8-08-2018, 03:05

The BDM Poll Ukrainians love opinion polls and survey organizations proliferate faster than political parties. As both presidential and parliamentary elections approach in 2019, and in that order, it is perhaps not surprising that virtually every month sees a new poll, offering prognoses on the next president or the parties that will acquire seats in the Narodna Rada. From 12 to 25 July, the Mykolaiv-based firm BDM conducted a poll that it published this month covering a number of aspects of...

Trump`s economic policies

Published: 1-08-2018, 01:40

The election of Donald Trump was an extraordinary moment in American history. It surprised pundits, analysts and almost everybody who was observing the presidential primaries and campaigns in the 2016 election. At the forefront of Trump’s rhetoric was the slogan: “Make America Great Again”, which mobilized a large group of Americans who felt left out of the positive impact of economic developments. People felt frustrated by globalization, fewer employment opportunities...

Interviews

Crimean Tatars after Russian annexation

Published: 14-09-2018, 16:50

  The 2014 annexation of Crimea by Russia influenced not only geopolitics and international law, but also the lives of local people, most of all, the Crimean Tatars, the indigenous population of the peninsula. To discuss the post-2014 situation of the Crimean Tatars, The Topchubashov Center interviews Prof. Natalya Belitser whose area of expertise includes issues of interethnic relations, minorities and indigenous peoples’ rights.       How is the current...

Insider view: an interview with Murad Gassanly

Published: 11-09-2018, 14:00

The Topchubashov Center is delighted to present you an interview with Murad Gassanly (PhD), an energy politics researcher and the first ever person from Azerbaijan to be elected to the municipality council in the United Kingdom. Currently, he represents the Conservative Party and serves for his second term as the Westminster City Councillor. The interview covers both the pressing issues of British domestic and foreign policies and Mr. Gassanly's rich experience in local politics.    ...

Kazakh population in China: an apple of discord or a bridge of friendship?

Published: 22-08-2018, 01:05

The Sayragul Sauytbay case re-surfaced some questions on the status of Kazakh population in Western China and evaluated the growing China-Kazakhstan economic partnership in light of the recent developments. Mr. Aidar Amrebayev, political expert from Kazakhstan, shares his opinion in this regard.   China and Kazakhstan have strong and dynamic economic relations. Kazakhstan is one of the center points of the Belt and Road Initiative. Taking into account the importance of the country for the...

Essays

Do developed countries have a duty to assist the global poor?

Published: 13-09-2018, 11:45

Today we cannot reject the situation that is happening in poorer countries. We are rich countries and our population is relatively affluent. We could also use some of our resources to assist people who live in measurable conditions and cannot meet their basic needs. Moreover, today people are also worried about sustainability of environment, migration, security issues. So, if we live in a world of increasing inequality then we cannot project to be moving towards a more secure and stable world....

Rational Prosperity or Prosperous Rationality?

Published: 1-09-2018, 12:00

Nowadays, there is a popular thought among society which underestimates the development of people’s life standards and endowed with pessimistic view of future. The increasing insecurity of developing technology, the existence of terror danger, and political and trade wars among countries are facilities tend to be highlighted in mass media and create pessimistic view of current and future living standards in people's vision. However, while analyzing today’s life standards instead of...

Evaluation of Brain Drain in South Caucasus: Reality or imminent threat?

Published: 24-08-2018, 23:45

Although a number of surveys and studies about migration in the South Caucasus have been conducted, empirical researches about brain drain from the region is limited, especially after 2015, which is a breakpoint for regional states due to the falling oil prices and slowdown of Russian economy. In this regard, the aim of this study is to discuss the brain drain in the region, analyse the stimulating factors for human capital outflow from Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia separately. Moreover, this...

Events and opportunities

Announcement: Advanced Journalism and Media Courses

Published: 28-08-2018, 08:30

    The Baku-based independent think tank Regional Research Public Union offers professional and in-depth journalism courses in English. The three-month program is designed for journalists and students who want to acquire advanced news writing and analytical skills, master processing various media products, become proficient on new tools, data-driven and digital journalism, investigative skills, multimedia and social media, and be able to conduct interviews. The journalism courses...

Topchubashov Essay Competition 2018

Published: 2-07-2018, 01:40

Dear readers and friends of the Topchubashov Center! We are glad to announce our first essay competition dedicated to the centennial of the Azerbaijan Democratic Republic. We want to spread our values of incisive research and high standards of knowledge; in this regard, we are now looking forward to your contributions to get a new, fresh perspective and hope to bring the brightest minds among you in our network of researchers and authors.  For the competition our team has prepared the...

CfP: The 2nd Politics and International Relations Congress

Published: 26-06-2018, 10:45

The 2nd Politics and International Relations Congress is being organized by the Department of International Relations at Karadeniz Technical University on 15-16 November 2018 in Trabzon, Turkey. The Congress aims to convene a vast array of contributors, including policy makers, practitioners and researchers to reflect the full diversity of the politics and international relations community from across the globe. Prospective participants should submit their short bio and abstracts to...

Edge of Change

Edge of Change (Issue 021)

Published: 29-08-2018, 09:00

A Saudi-Iran Oil War Could Break Up OPEC (By Irina Slav) 22 August 2018 When OPEC and Russia shook on increasing crude oil production by a million barrels per day to stop the oil price climb that had begun getting uncomfortable for consumers from Asia to the United States, there was no sign of what was to come just two months later: slowing demand in Asia, ample supply, and a brewing price war between Saudi Arabia and Iran. This war could effectively put an end to OPEC: it’s hard to...

Edge of Change (Issue 020)

Published: 21-08-2018, 13:35

  Good Oligarch, Bad Oligarch (by Vladislav Inozemtsev) 31 July 2018   Vladislav Inozemtsev argues that the policy of marginalizing and stifling virtually all of the so-called Russian oligarchs is counter-productive and will only bring them into Putin’s warm embrace. Instead, he proposes to distinguish between those billionaires who actively endorse and finance the Russian government’s policies and those who have tried hardly to stand outside of it and transfer their...

Edge of Change (Issue 019)

Published: 15-08-2018, 09:10

Global Supply Chains Are Dangerously Easy to Snap (by Elisabeth Braw) 7 August 2018 UK’s stockpiling plans in case a no-deal Brexit and the reasons why other developed countries depending on complex supply chains should take Britain’s misfortune as a wake-up call are being discussed in this article. Global supply chains in a modern world are a national security issue. Although thanks to a highly concentrated production and distribution system consumers can enjoy steady supplies of...

Videos

Carter doctrine

Published: 1-06-2018, 12:05

Carter Doctrine is a foreign policy initiative introduced by U.S. President Jimmy Carter on January 23, 1980 as a response to the Soviet Union’s intervention in Afghanistan. J. Carter declared that the U.S. would employ military force against any country that attempted to gain control of the Persian Gulf, thus warning away outside forces from the region.  The Carter administration recommended a 6 percent increase in the defense budget and created Rapid Deployment Joint Task Force...

Matryoshka-nationalism

Published: 5-05-2018, 00:10

The term Matryoshka-nationalism comes from the name of a wooden Russian doll called matryoshka which, reveals another, smaller doll inside, with the latter containing an even smaller doll.  The notion of Matryoshka-nationalism as a specific phenomenon of post-Soviet nationalism refers to separatist movements that emerged upon the dissolution of the USSR and implies the existence of a smaller ethnic group within a larger one. It became a trend in some countries in the early 1990s, when the...

Madman theory

Published: 15-03-2018, 10:05

Madman theory is a political theory commonly associated with the U.S. President Richard Nixon. He and his administration strove to convince the leaders of hostile countries that Nixon was irrational and volatile enough to take unpredictable actions. This tactic was supposed to induce the hostile nation to stand down and avoid provoking the United States, fearing an unpredictable American response.  The Madman Strategy was employed during the Cold War: when the Nixon...

Book Reviews

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