Analytics

What is the future of the nuclear deal?

Published: 14-05-2018, 08:40

There is no exaggeration to tell that Trump’s final decision to leave the nuclear deal with Iran has significantly changed the political situation not only in the Middle East but in the whole world. Numerous experts have already presented detailed analyses of possible negative consequences to all involved parties including the U.S. However, what was done is done and new questions arise. Among the most important of them are the following ones – will other parties, particularly Iran,...

Scrapping the Iran Deal: Realist containment or Neocon resurgence?

Published: 10-05-2018, 06:25

The scrapping of the Iran deal was criticized by an overwhelming majority of observers as a shortsighted decision. Yet, President Trump's action seems to reflect the view of several of his Security Council members and his main regional allies in the Middle East. Two possible paths are now open for the Trump administration.   Longtime opponents of the deal, like State Secretary Pompeo and National Security Adviser John Bolton, can see Tuesday`s announcement as a direct success. Even the...

Armenia after the revolution: how should Baku understand it?

Published: 7-05-2018, 08:20

The revolutionary events in Armenia are approaching their logical end, and unless something totally unexpected happens in the upcoming couple of days, the protest leader Nikol Pashinyan should be elected as the country’s new Prime Minister, de-facto head of state. Unfolding in such an expected and quickly manner, this process was bound to confuse many observers and analysts alike and give way to a whole range of often contradictory explanations. However, here we will try to draw out the...

Interviews

Belarus: improving the image without improving

Published: 22-05-2018, 05:05

More than two decades under Lukashenka, Belarus has become a unique state in Europe. It is a hybrid of Soviet past and pro-Russian present. Yet, the authorities emphasize the country`s independence from Russia from time to time. Prof. David R. Marples from the University of Alberta shares his opinion how the current Belarus moves forward in both internal and external dimensions.    Huseynov: Some commentators report the so-called Belarusization that has been taking place in...

Interview with Roza Otunbayeva (Part Three): Kyrgyzstan's future prospects

Published: 19-05-2018, 10:40

Third and final part of the interview with Roza Otunbayeva. In this section of the interview with Christian Eccher, the former President of Kyrgyzstan reflects on the future of her country and on Bishkek's relations with the other Central Asian countries. The first part of the interview is available here. The second part is instead available here.   The relations with Kazakhstan have been tense since Kyrgyzstan became a democracy. For months there have been problems at the border, miles of...

Korean Spring: what should we think of it?

Published: 8-05-2018, 07:25

The Topchubashov Center has interviewed Rovshan Ibrahimov, Associated Professor at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies on the reasons and consequences of the stunning events that unfold on the divided Korean peninsula. Interviewer: Murad Muradov   Muradov: You have been living in South Korea for quite a longtime. Has there been a wide social consensus on the need to build peace with the unruly neighbour?  Ibrahimov: Actually, the majority of the South Korean society is...

Essays

Kosovo and the end of war?

Published: 4-05-2018, 18:15

NATO`s campaign of Kosovo in 1999 was not simply a military operation of several countries against another one; in fact, as some scholars argue, it became a turning point for world order and brought about new challenges for political science.  NATO jets against Yugoslavia “represented nothing less than the beginning of the end of the Westphalian world order.” (Nichols, 2008) Set up in the 17th century, this system centralized the concept of sovereignty, which means that a...

Does family structure matter for social inequality?

Published: 11-03-2018, 00:55

Family, or household, has always been one of the most important elements of a social fabric of any society- institutions, which, as Hall and Soskice claimed in their influential “Varieties of Capitalism” model, are embedded in time and tend to reproduce certain patterns of inequality and redistribution (this approach was shared by several distinguished analysts of the field, including Polanyi). Thus it is no surprise that welfare systems of the Continental European and Anglo-Saxon...

Freedom As Development

Published: 23-02-2018, 12:45

The statement “Development as Freedom” was articulated by Nobel Peace Prize winner and famous economist Amartya Sen. He developed the idea of how freedom can be achieved not only by economic or technological development but from the freedom and the basic capabilities itself. In his book, he argues that freedom is part of our life which gives us strength “to have a reason to value it”. How can this reason be achieved? Sen says with the help of freedom which comes along...

Events and opportunities

Call for papers: Muslim minorities and the refugee crisis in Europe. Narratives and policy responses

Published: 16-05-2018, 23:00

The recent refugee crisis started by the ongoing war in Syria caught Europeans by surprise. The wave of refugees (and later migrants from other regions) who came to the EU posed a huge logistic, social and political challenge both for individual member states and the EU. While protecting those who flee war is among the core of European values, translating these values into practical political response is proving to be very hard. The situation is further exacerbated by the longevity of the...

Geopolitical summer school

Published: 15-05-2018, 15:05

Europe in troubled times: destructive forces of secession and instable neighbourhood 2018 summer school is officially set up. The Geopolitical Summer School has a highly interactive character, with a focus on the various geopolitical traditions. The module offers lectures, workshops and final student presentations. İt also involves an individual and a group assignment.   Basic information Period: 8-14th July 2018 Preferred pre-knowledge: awareness of major political, social and economic...

Call for participants: Muslim minorities and the refugee crisis in Europe workshop

Published: 11-05-2018, 12:30

CALL FOR PARTICIPANTS Muslim minorities and the refugee crisis in Europe workshop 30th August – 3rd September 2018, Warsaw (Poland) The Middle East and Central Asia Unit of the Department of Political Studies at the Collegium of Socio-Economics of SGH Warsaw School of Economics is organising an intensive interdisciplinary workshop for young researchers, NGO and youth workers, as well as for professionals on the refugee crisis and attitudes towards Muslims in the EU, with a special focus...

Edge of Change

Edge of Change (Issue 012)

Published: 18-05-2018, 09:05

Japan, China and South Korea get together 10 May 2018 This piece analyzes Mr. Abe’s invitation sent to the Chinese prime minister and the South Korean president, to come to Tokyo, and relates this step to Donald Trump’s recent steps towards North Korea. Furthermore, it states that the main push for this action had to do uncertainty over American role in the Pacific, as well as a possible trade war. In this regard, all three parties have their own interests, so while Japan sees China...

Edge of Change (Issue 011)

Published: 10-05-2018, 10:40

  Iran among the ruins (by Vali Nasr) 13 February 2018 Vali Nasr provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolving role of Iran in the Middle East, arguing that demonizing Tehran and re-introducing sanctions against it is a bad policy for the U.S. He shows that the increasing Iranian influence in a range of countries- war-torn Syria, Iraq, Qatar- is due to a large extent to America’s own policy failures, namely, the demolition of the order across the Arabic world it contributed to....

Edge of Change (Issue 010)

Published: 3-05-2018, 10:40

Globalization is not in retreat (by Susan Lund, Laura Tyson) 16 April 2018 In this extensive essay, Susan Lund and Laura Tyson try to refute the now-popular thesis that the age of globalization is over, and instead suggest it has taken a new form, strikingly different from the “classic” one. Among the major features characterizing it, the authors emphasize the shift of trade growth from the developed to the developing world (particularly, Asia), saturation of the previous sources of...

Videos

Matryoshka-nationalism

Published: 5-05-2018, 00:10

The term Matryoshka-nationalism comes from the name of a wooden Russian doll called matryoshka which, reveals another, smaller doll inside, with the latter containing an even smaller doll.  The notion of Matryoshka-nationalism as a specific phenomenon of post-Soviet nationalism refers to separatist movements that emerged upon the dissolution of the USSR and implies the existence of a smaller ethnic group within a larger one. It became a trend in some countries in the early 1990s, when the...

Madman theory

Published: 15-03-2018, 10:05

Madman theory is a political theory commonly associated with the U.S. President Richard Nixon. He and his administration strove to convince the leaders of hostile countries that Nixon was irrational and volatile enough to take unpredictable actions. This tactic was supposed to induce the hostile nation to stand down and avoid provoking the United States, fearing an unpredictable American response.  The Madman Strategy was employed during the Cold War: when the Nixon...

Khojaly massacre - 26 February 1992

Published: 26-02-2018, 12:36

One of the most terrible events of the post-WWII Europe took place in Khojaly, Azerbaijan in 26 February 1992.   In the course of Nagorno-Karabakh war, 613 Azerbaijanis were ruthlessly massacred by the Armenian forces. Among the killed were 63 children, 106 women, 70 elderly.  8 families were completely exterminated, 25 children lost both parents, 130 children lost one of the parents. 487 people, including 76 children became wounded. 1275 people were taken hostages. 150 people went...

Book Reviews

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